Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 10.102551 11.234570 12.452999 13.863861 15.454967 17.196523 19.250815
2025-07-20 8.575395 10.168286 12.008895 14.301334 17.091570 20.391976 24.612944
2025-07-27 7.353187 9.206530 11.481874 14.500407 18.428954 23.408279 30.260301
2025-08-03 6.289523 8.249243 10.783740 14.335858 19.239752 25.850421 35.570673
2025-08-10 5.449479 7.441916 10.138619 14.105883 19.879075 28.106998 40.961725
2025-08-17 4.783164 6.768500 9.565976 13.863824 20.422504 30.256476 46.504981
2025-08-24 4.269121 6.237364 9.113411 13.709892 21.037341 32.553377 52.606850
2025-08-31 3.869428 5.820842 8.768887 13.655452 21.768641 35.096018 59.490103
2025-09-07 3.616537 5.594157 8.678721 13.974845 23.122931 38.816649 68.997540
2025-09-14 3.313876 5.253294 8.364807 13.877222 23.742509 41.342856 76.750967
2025-09-21 3.015310 4.886625 7.966260 13.579605 23.956272 43.148712 83.410238
2025-09-28 2.777471 4.596306 7.662879 13.406522 24.360147 45.339840 91.187482
2025-10-05 2.652851 4.491803 7.675825 13.821446 25.955042 50.122009 105.432780
2025-10-12 2.537601 4.392387 7.687275 14.235240 27.608627 55.290944 121.624989
2025-10-19 2.400576 4.240357 7.586937 14.420397 28.825791 59.745305 137.140673
2025-10-26 2.231429 4.013299 7.323715 14.249570 29.272363 62.595405 149.404539
2025-11-02 2.072211 3.790450 7.046618 14.017035 29.551544 65.109226 161.368607
2025-11-09 1.927684 3.583031 6.779729 13.774367 29.773309 67.521492 173.603205
2025-11-16 1.806356 3.410432 6.565804 13.620237 30.175482 70.430603 187.870254
2025-11-23 1.705947 3.270838 6.405703 13.565450 30.803039 74.001483 204.879560
2025-11-30 1.648895 3.213927 6.410864 13.882060 32.374119 80.263929 231.495755
2025-12-07 1.559054 3.081875 6.245042 13.784909 32.898835 83.833859 250.634534
2025-12-14 1.459844 2.922377 6.006274 13.489354 32.874705 85.893792 265.398470